North Carolina vs. Notre Dame Prediction, Odds: 2023 College Basketball Picks, Jan 7 Bets From Proven Model

The North Carolina Tar Heels aim to maintain an upward trajectory on Saturday. The Tar Heels have won five of their last six games, and UNC hosts the Notre Dame Fighting Irish in the first tip of the day. The game is set for the Dean Smith Center in Chapel Hill, where the Tar Heels are 7-0 this season. Notre Dame is 8-7 overall and 0-4 in conference play to start the 2022-23 campaign.

Tip-off is at 11:30 a.m. ET in Chapel Hill. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Tar Heels as 12.5-point home favorites, while the over/under, or total points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 145 in the latest Notre Dame vs. North Carolina odds. Before you choose North Carolina vs. Notre Dame, you should check out the college basketball predictions and betting tips from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters Week 9 of the season 30-16 with top-ranked college basketball picks, returning more than $800 for $100 players. Everyone who has followed it has seen profitable returns.

Now the model has set its sights on UNC vs. Notre Dame and just locked in their picks and CBB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model’s selection. Here are the college basketball odds and betting lines for Notre Dame vs. UNC:

  • North Carolina vs. Notre Dame spread: UNC -12.5
  • North Carolina vs. Notre Dame Over/Under: 145 points
  • North Carolina vs. Notre Dame money line: UNC -900, Notre Dame +600
  • ND: The Fighting Irish are 0-4 against the spread in road/neutral games
  • UNC: The Tar Heels are 3-4 against the spread in home games
  • North Carolina vs. Notre Dame picks: See picks on SportsLine

Featured game | North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Why Notre Dame can cover

Notre Dame brings a very strong offense to the table. The Fighting Irish have five players averaging in double figures, with Notre Dame having a top-10 turnover rate (14.5%) in the country. Notre Dame is also strong in perimeter shooting, including 37.7% from 3-point range and 78.3% at the free throw line. North Carolina is struggling with a 16.2% turnover rate that ranks outside the top 300 nationally, and the Tar Heels are allowing opponents to shoot 34.6% from 3-point range.

Notre Dame also has strong defensive attributes, with a top-10 national mark in free throws allowed. The Fighting Irish also secure nearly 76% of available defensive rebounds and hold opponents to 31.8% shooting from beyond the 3-point arc. North Carolina’s offense is excellent, but the Tar Heels are making just 31.3% of their 3-point attempts.

Why North Carolina can cover

North Carolina’s offense is huge, led by two-time All-ACC big man Armando Bacot. He is averaging 18.6 points and 11.1 rebounds per game this season, and Bacot is putting up 24.3 points on 63% shooting over the last four games. UNC is in the top 12 in the country in adjusted offensive efficiency, and the Tar Heels are in the top 20 in free throw creation rate and turnover rate (15.6%). North Carolina is excellent in offensive rebounding (29.2%), and the Tar Heels are shooting 54.1% from 2-point range and 74.2% at the free throw line.

The Tar Heels also face a vulnerable defensive team in Notre Dame, with the Fighting Irish landing outside the top 200 in adjusted defensive efficiency. Notre Dame is 360th in the nation in turnover creation rate (13.5%), while holding a measly 6.7% steal rate, and opponents are shooting more than 53% from inside the arc against the Fighting Irish.

How to make UNC vs Notre Dame picks

SportsLine’s model leans toward the total, projecting 149 combined points. It has also generated a counter-spread pick that cashes well over 70% of the simulations. You can only get the model’s choice at SportsLine.

So who will win Notre Dame vs. UNC? And which side of the spread cashes in more than 70% of the simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, ranging from the advanced model that is 30-16 on its top-ranked college basketball picks this season, and find out.

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